{
 "description": "Decomposition of each scenario target into an earnings change (house scenario FY2027 EPS vs consensus $9.53) and a multiple change (scenario P/E vs 35.22x entry multiple on consensus)",
 "entry_usd": 335.68,
 "consensus_fy2027_eps": 9.53,
 "entry_multiple": 35.223504721930745,
 "rows": [
  {
   "name": "Margin reset",
   "probability_pct": 40,
   "eps": 8.961937716262977,
   "eps_vs_consensus_pct": -5.960779472581557,
   "multiple": 30,
   "multiple_vs_entry_pct": -14.829599618684464,
   "target": 268.8581314878893,
   "short_return_pct": 19.90641936132945,
   "multiple_share_of_log_price_move": 0.7231291996928391
  },
  {
   "name": "In line, slow de-rate",
   "probability_pct": 38,
   "eps": 9.19833910034602,
   "eps_vs_consensus_pct": -3.480177331101564,
   "multiple": 34,
   "multiple_vs_entry_pct": -3.4735462345090506,
   "target": 312.7435294117647,
   "short_return_pct": 6.832837996971906,
   "multiple_share_of_log_price_move": 0.4995146613553202
  },
  {
   "name": "Demand and pricing hold",
   "probability_pct": 22,
   "eps": 9.63764705882353,
   "eps_vs_consensus_pct": 1.1295599037096649,
   "multiple": 37,
   "multiple_vs_entry_pct": 5.043493803622501,
   "target": 356.5929411764706,
   "short_return_pct": -6.230022991083952,
   "multiple_share_of_log_price_move": 0.8141476708876989
  }
 ],
 "weighted_target": 304.83624083044987,
 "weighted_short_return_pct": 9.188441125342637
}