BTC Spot and Perp Total Returns

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BTC perp total return · long · seven-day BTC spot total return Weighted peers · rebased to spot at range start · live perps listed-options implied probability fan selected structure payout

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Distribution center

Listed options · term structure

BTC 1- and 3-Month ATM Straddle Targets

IBIT listed-options proxy · select a term to display its implied distribution and payout.

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Liquid ATM structures

Select a term to display its payout on the chart

TermWhat you buyTotal askVolumeOpen interestImplied moveLower BEUpper BEListed days
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Options underlierListed proxy used for the distribution
1-month target
3-month target
Chain quoteCurrent listed-options snapshot

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Kimi K3 · Market Lens universe

BTC Weighted Peer Basket

24h perp changes loading from Hyperliquid · 7d changes and funding are snapshots through 2026-09-16T22:00:00Z · 24h liquidity observed 2026-09-16T21:44:57.853607Z · positive funding: longs pay shorts, negative: shorts pay longs · blended peer average uses the fixed Kimi weights
Primary risk hedge XYZ100 · Nasdaq-100 · 216.594M USD 24h
InstrumentBasket weight24h change7d changeT+7d funding APR24h liquidity
BTCBitcoinTarget-2.64%+7.99%$3,172.939M
Blended peer averagePeer basket100%-3.41%+8.02%$748.810M
ETHEthereum51.7%-2.25%+8.04%$1,407.303M
MSTRStrategy22.4%-4.44%+9.72%$19.206M
COINCoinbase17.2%-5.43%+7.04%$9.116M
SOLSolana8.6%-3.59%+5.43%$174.217M

Predicted Funding APR

Forward mean hourly funding · positive rate: longs pay shorts · negative rate: shorts pay longs
Next 1 day
Next 7 days

Validated horizon-specific funding rules · simple annualized cash yield before fees and slippage

BTC Perp Long / BTC Spot Long Total Return Ratio

1.00 = equal return since shared anchor · BTC sampled on the same seven-day New York session
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On-chain Spot Markets

Issuer wrappers ranked by measured venue and verified-pool turnover
Determining preferred wrapper… Loading direct venue books…
Token and structureNetworksPrimary contractDirect 24hVenue coverage
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Preferred marks the wrapper with the highest summed measured 24-hour turnover. Order-book depth is resting dollar notional within 2% of mid; ≥ means the returned book ended before the full band. Ethereum Uniswap V3 and PancakeSwap V3 price and depth come directly from factory-verified pools and quoter calls; PancakeSwap 24-hour volume and TVL are indexed pool-event statistics. Robinhood bid and ask are official multiplier-adjusted reference prices. A Robinhood route marked unmeasured means the custom Uniswap/Pleiades route exists but its executable depth and turnover are unavailable to this adapter; it does not mean zero liquidity. Underlying share volume is excluded. AMM TVL is shown separately from executable depth. Issuer, custody, redemption, eligibility, fees, slippage, and venue risk differ.

Perp candlesticks and BTC spot run seven days a week. Spot closes use Bitfinex 30-minute candles aligned to 09:30–16:00 New York. Each history is scaled to its own latest raw USD close: prior spot levels include spot total return and prior perp levels include realized hourly funding. Solid candles use exact 09:30–16:00 30-minute bars; an outlined final candle is the current fetched partial session or a browser-mid extension; browser-mid high/low begins on page load and excludes unfinalized funding; faded candles use the 09:00 hourly open and exact 16:00 close.